CCS and CCU in the JRC Science for Policy Report: The POTEnCIA Central scenario: An EU energy outlook to 2050

About the report

The JRC POTEnCIA Central Scenario describes the evolution of the EU energy system from 2018
2050 based the policy landscape at the end of 2017. The objective of the report is to purely serve as
a reference document to which future policy targets or reporting can be compared against. This was
performed not only Europe wide but individually for each member state, and the report provides
detailed graphics of each member state. Furthermore, this report highlights the disparity between EU
and Member State ambition and the policy framework which underpins those ambitions.

The report describes evolution of the EU energy system from 2018-2050 using
European and member state policy at the end of 2017.

Policy brief summary:

• The report is designed to serve as a reference document
• The 2030 the EU energy and GHG emissions reductions targets set by the EU
  framework for climate and energy are missed.
• The 2050 EU climate targets are missed, and emissions reductions only total a
  47% reduction from 1990 levels, well above the climate-neutrality target.
• Investment expenditure totals 72.5 trillion EUR over the period 2016-2050,
  11.5% of GDP. Primarily (68%) linked to the satisfaction of energy needs
  (electric vehicles and appliances).
• CCS accounts for 8% of the EU net-electricity generation in 2050. Ramping up
  from 2040. This is a blend of gas (5%) and coal (3%) power generation with
  CCS at 90% capture rate, totalling 171.5Mt/CO2 pa from power generation
  alone.
• CCS is viewed as a technology to address process emissions for the cement
  and iron & steel industry, resulting in 98Mt/CO2 p.a. capture (81Mt and 17Mt
  respectively).
• Hydrogen with CCS, CCU, BECCS and DACCS are all not considered.